Forests carbon absorption

Forests could become a source of emissions rather than a 'carbon sink' (Picture: Getty/PA)

The world's tropical forests are losing their ability to absorb carbon from the atmosphere – decades ahead of 'even the most pessimistic' predictions, researchers have warned.

Scientists said the alarming findings make efforts to cut emissions to curb rising global temperatures even more urgent.

Existing undisturbed tropical forests are a crucial global carbon store or 'sink', slowing the impacts of emissions from activities such as burning fossil fuels, by removing carbon dioxide from the air and storing it in trees.

Climate models typically predict forests will go on giving humans this helping hand in dealing with emissions for decades. But a new study sounds the alarm on the start of a feared switch in the world's tropical forests from a carbon sink to being a source of extra carbon dioxide – putting out more of the gas from the death of trees than living trees can absorb.

PARA, BRAZIL, 03/09/2019 - Members of the IBAMA forest fire brigade (named Prevfogo) fight burning in the Amazon area of rural settlement PDS Nova Fronteira, in the city of Novo Progresso, Para state, northern Brazil, this Tuesday, September 3rd. Since the end of August Prevfogo has been acting with the assistance of Brazilian Army military. Bolsonaro government budget cuts since January 2019 have severely affected brigades, which have been reduced in critical regions such as the Amazon. (Photo by Gustavo Basso/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

New research defies 'even the most pessimistic' previous forecasts by decades (Picture: Getty Images)

PARA, BRAZIL, 31/08/2019 - Amazon forest area is burned in rural Novo Progresso, in Para, north of Brazil, this Saturday, August 31st, days after the president decreet prohibiting the intentional burnings that multiplied this year in the Amazon region. While president Jair Bolsonaro blamed NGOs for burnings and deforastation, August registered the highest rates of forest destruction and and burnings in 9 years (Photo by Gustavo Basso/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Amazon forest area burning in Brazil (Picture: Getty Images)

The research, published in the journal Nature, tracked 300,000 trees over 30 years in Africa and the Amazon and suggests the overall uptake of carbon by intact tropical forests peaked in the 1990s.

By the 2010s, the ability of these forests to absorb carbon dioxide had declined by a third on average.

The boost to growth that extra carbon dioxide provides is increasingly being countered by higher temperatures and drought that slows growth and can kill trees, causing carbon losses, the researchers said.

The land area covered by intact forests also declined by almost a fifth (19%) in the face of deforestation – and carbon dioxide emissions from human activity jumped by 46% over that time.

As a result, intact forests removed 17% of carbon emissions caused by humans in the 1990s but only 6% by the 2010s.

Overall, undisturbed tropical forests removed around 46 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide in the 1990s but only 25 billion tonnes by the 2010s, as forests both shrank in size and saw a reduction in their ability to absorb carbon.

The findings come amid increasing alarm around the scale of the climate crisis, with school children worldwide going on strike over the issue and the wider public becoming ever-more concerned.

Since the future carbon uptake by tropical forests is less than previous climate models thought, humans will have to drive down emissions faster and reach 'net zero' greenhouse gases earlier, the experts claim.

EMBARGOED TO 1600 WEDNESDAY MARCH 4 Undated handout photo issued by the University of Leeds of Amazon Forest canopy at dawn. The ability of the world's tropical forests to absorb carbon from the atmosphere is decreasing - decades ahead of predictions, researchers have warned. PA Photo. Issue date: Wednesday March 4, 2020. The finding that tropical forests are absorbing less of the extra carbon dioxide caused by human activities makes efforts to cut emissions to curb rising global temperatures even more urgent, the scientists said. See PA story ENVIRONMENT Forests. Photo credit should read: Peter Vander Sleen/PA Wire NOTE TO EDITORS: This handout photo may only be used in for editorial reporting purposes for the contemporaneous illustration of events, things or the people in the image or facts mentioned in the caption. Reuse of the picture may require further permission from the copyright holder.

Scientists are calling for urgent action to avoid deforestation and restore forests in the tropics (Picture: PA)

PARA, BRAZIL, 31/08/2019 - Amazon forest area is burned in rural Novo Progresso, in Para, north of Brazil, this Saturday, August 31st, days after the president decreet prohibiting the intentional burnings that multiplied this year in the Amazon region. While president Jair Bolsonaro blamed NGOs for burnings and deforastation, August registered the highest rates of forest destruction and and burnings in 9 years (Photo by Gustavo Basso/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

The Amazon has faced widespread fires in recent times (Picture: Getty Images)

The study by almost 100 institutions, led by the University of Leeds, repeatedly measured trees in 244 intact African tropical forests across 11 countries to assess their carbon storage, and compared it to 321 plots in the Amazon.

It showed the ability of the Amazon forests to absorb carbon started to fall in the mid-1990s while the African carbon sink began to decline about 15 years later.

Senior author Professor Simon Lewis, from the School of Geography at Leeds, said: 'Intact tropical forests remain a vital carbon sink but this research reveals that unless policies are put in place to stabilise Earth's climate, it is only a matter of time until they are no longer able to sequester carbon.

'One big concern for the future of humanity is when carbon-cycle feedbacks really kick in, with nature switching from slowing climate change to accelerating it.'

He continued: 'After years of work deep in the Congo and Amazon rainforests, we've found that one of the most worrying impacts of climate change has already begun.

'This is decades ahead of even the most pessimistic climate models. There is no time to lose in terms of tackling climate change.'

Professor Lewis added that stopping deforestation and managing tropical forests, as well as restoring forests in the tropics and temperate parts of the world, is also important.

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